Nixtla/statsforecast
What happens to a stranger's pull request here, in the Porchlamp snapshot of 17 October 2026.
Outside pull requests to Nixtla/statsforecast got a first human reply in a median of 19.3 hours (80 pull requests, 19 April to 16 October 2026); 45% got none within 14 days. It ranks 1,296 of 3,219 overall. It is not ranked for first-time contributors: this repository does not show a low enough barrier for a first-time contributor.
| Rank | 1,296 of 3,219 |
|---|---|
| Score | 52.96 |
| Tier | C |
| Median first reply | 19.3 hours |
| 14-day no-reply share | 45% |
| First-timer rank | This repository does not show a low enough barrier for a first-time contributor. |
| Ecosystem | Python |
| Window | 19 April to 16 October 2026 |
Composite
- Rank
- 1,296 of 3,219
- Score
- 52.96
- Tier
- C
- Coverage
- 98% · Full
- Quadrant
- Sweet Spot
Coordinates: leverage 50.8 (coverage 100%), friction 45.0 (coverage 97%)
Five pillars
| Pillar | Score | Coverage |
|---|---|---|
| Responsiveness | 62.6 | 100% |
| Criticality | 55.0 | 100% |
| Governance | 47.0 | 100% |
| Rigor | 46.5 | 100% |
| Accessibility | 47.9 | 85% |
The measured parameters
Responsiveness
| Parameter | Value | Score | Count | Window | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Decision Rate (90d)Share of outside pull requests that were merged or closed within 90 days. | 80.0% | 100.0 | 20 | 19 April to 18 July 2026 | primaryraw/pr_window/Nixtla__statsforecast.json |
| PR Ghost Rate (14d)Share of outside pull requests with no maintainer response, merge or close within 14 days. | 44.8% | 10.3 | 58 | 20 April to 17 October 2026 | primaryraw/pr_window/Nixtla__statsforecast.json |
| First-timer Merge RateShare of first-time outside authors' decided pull requests that were merged. | 30.8% | 38.5 | 26 | — | primaryraw/author_history/Nixtla__statsforecast.json |
| Time to First ResponseMedian hours from an outside pull request opening to its first substantive human reply. | 19.3 hours (0.8 days) | 82.9 | 80 | 19 April to 16 October 2026 | primaryraw/pr_window/Nixtla__statsforecast.json |
| Time to Merge (p90)Hours within which 90% of merged outside pull requests were merged. | 485.8 hours (20.2 days) | 35.2 | 71 | 19 April to 16 October 2026 | primaryraw/pr_window/Nixtla__statsforecast.json |
Criticality
| Parameter | Value | Score | Count | Window | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DependentsPackages in the registry that depend on this project, counted once each. | 31 | 62.3 | — | — | primaryraw/dependents/Nixtla__statsforecast.json |
| Monthly DownloadsDownloads from the package registry in a month. | 1.5 million downloads a month | 65.7 | — | — | primaryraw/downloads/pypi__statsforecast.json |
| OpenSSF CriticalityOpenSSF criticality score from 0 to 1, computed from the project's public activity signals. | 0.389 | 38.9 | — | — | primaryraw/github_meta/Nixtla__statsforecast.json |
Governance
| Parameter | Value | Score | Count | Window | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elephant FactorThe fewest organisations that account for half of the last year's commits. | 3 | 75.0 | 68 | — | primaryraw/commits_365d/Nixtla__statsforecast.json |
| Legal IP RegimeThe contributor licence regime: DCO, none, a foundation CLA or a corporate CLA. | Company CLA | 25.0 | — | — | primaryraw/governance/Nixtla__statsforecast.json |
| Promotion LadderHow openly a contributor can become a maintainer, from closed to verified. | No written path to becoming a maintainer | 40.0 | — | — | primaryraw/governance/Nixtla__statsforecast.json |
Rigor
| Parameter | Value | Score | Count | Window | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AI Policy PostureWhether the project has a written policy on AI-assisted contributions. | No written AI policy | 40.0 | — | — | primaryraw/governance/Nixtla__statsforecast.json |
| Pipeline DefensesHow well the project's build and review pipeline defends against bad changes, 0 to 100. | 72.5 | 72.5 | — | — | primaryraw/scorecard/Nixtla__statsforecast.json |
| Substantive Review RateShare of decided pull requests that received a substantive review. | 14.6% | 18.3 | 89 | 19 April to 16 October 2026 | primaryraw/pr_window/Nixtla__statsforecast.json |
Accessibility
| Parameter | Value | Score | Count | Window | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Developer ExperienceDeveloper experience, 0 to 100: half CI run time, half setup signals. | 85 | 85.0 | 15 | — | primaryraw/actions_runs/Nixtla__statsforecast.json |
| Newcomer ConversionShare of first-time authors whose first pull request merged within 180 days. | 40.0% | 80.0 | 10 | — | primaryraw/author_history/Nixtla__statsforecast.json |
| Newcomer Issue SupplyOpen, unassigned, up-to-date issues marked for newcomers. | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | primaryraw/gfi/Nixtla__statsforecast.json |
| Newcomer Return RateShare of those merged first-time authors who sent a second pull request within 90 days. | Not shown: Insufficient sample size | ||||
Persona view
| Persona | Rank | Score | Tier | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Balanced | 1,296 of 3,219 | 52.96 | C | Rated |
| First-timer | This repository does not show a low enough barrier for a first-time contributor. | |||
| Career capital | This repository's production-criticality signal is not yet high enough for career-capital ranking. | |||
| Senior systems | 733 of 1,276 | 52.07 | C | Rated |
| AI-assisted | 1,637 of 3,696 | 51.63 | C | Rated |
Integrity
- Snapshot
- 2026-10-17
- Raw hash
- 2a7685200169df6d6f2eaaebe5fdb5325c205acd6a982285b50da83c5e773c51
No suspicion flags on this repository.
The full record is in data/2026-10-17/repos/8d.json, under the key Nixtla/statsforecast.
How every number is measured: Porchlamp methodology.
Open an issue about this record and say what looks wrong.
Porchlamp (2026). Nixtla/statsforecast. Snapshot 2026-10-17. https://porchlamp.org/projects/nixtla/statsforecast/. CC BY 4.0.
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